US Bush Legacy - AP looks at President Bush's legacy: Iraq, Gtmo, Katrina, meltdown
NAME: US BUSH LEGACY 20090112I
TAPE: EF09/0046
IN_TIME: 10:49:07:09
DURATION: 00:04:31:19
SOURCES: AP Television/ABC/Various
DATELINE: Various - Recent/File
RESTRICTIONS: Check shotlist for details
SHOTLIST:
AP Television
Baghdad, Iraq 10 December, 2008
1. Iraqi journalist throws shows at President George W. Bush
POOL
Washington, DC 20 January 2001
2. George W. Bush steps up to podium for Presidential Oath
3. UPSOUND: (English) George W. Bush, 43rd President of the United States:
"I, George Walker Bush, do solemnly swear that I will faithfully execute the office of President of the United States."
AP Television
New York, New York 11 September, 2001
4. World Trade Center north tower burning after attack
ABC - No Access North America/Internet
Sarasota, Florida 11 September, 2001
5. Chief of Staff Andrew Card walks up to George W. Bush in a classroom to tell him the World Trade Center has been attacked
POOL
New York, New York 17 September, 2001
6. UPSOUND: (English) George W. Bush, 43rd President of the United States:
"I can hear you. The rest of the world hears you. (cheers and applause) And the people who knocked these buildings down will hear all of us soon." (cheers and applause)
AP Television
Baghdad, Iraq 20 March, 2003
7. Nighttime explosions of bombs in Baghdad
POOL
Near Kirkuk, Iraq - April 12, 2003
8. Soldiers inspect suspected chemical weapons mobile lab
POOL
Near Baghdad, Iraq - April 7, 2003
9. Various of American soldiers in offensive positions in Iraq
10. Suspected Iraqi arms depot destroyed by American troops
AP Television
Sadr City, Baghdad, Iraq - 5 May, 2003
11. Marketplace in Baghdad
POOL
Onboard USS Lincoln 1 May, 2003
12. Bush walks toward podium on landing deck of USS Lincoln
13. Cutaway of sailors cheering (UPSOUND: Applause)
14. SOUNDBITE: (English) George W. Bush, President - United States: "Major combat operations in Iraq have ended. In the battle of Iraq, the United States and her allies have prevailed."
AP Television
Washington, DC 15 December, 2008
15. Moises Naim walks into library
16. SOUNDBITE: (English) Moises Naim, Editor in Chief, Foreign Policy Magazine:
"I don't think President Bush, today, supports the Bush Doctrine that he launched in the aftermath of 9-11."
AP Television
Baghdad, Iraq 24 June, 2003
17. Burning vehicle from car bombing on Baghdad street
AP Television
Washington, DC 18 December, 2008
18. Stephen Wayne sitting at computer
19. SOUNDBITE: (English) Stephen Wayne, Professor of Government, Georgetown University:
"The fact that he kept that policy going in light of evidence that it wasn't working is really a failure and he looks bullying, inflexible and the vision looks overly simplistic and probably incorrect."
AP Television
Guantanamo Bay, Cuba 12 May, 2004
20. Entrance to Guantanamo Naval Station
21. Wide view of guards escorting prisoner into cell
AP Television
Washington, DC 21 December, 2008
22. Mid of Sibley Telhami
23. SOUNDBITE: (English) Sibley Telhami, Brookings Institution: "The Bush administration's legacy problem around the world is largely related to Iraq and I think Guantanamo and Abu Ghraib were symptoms of the failure of Iraq. So, their important for that reason, above all else."
AP Television
Baghdad, Iraq 3 May, 2004
24. Mid view of man looking at newspapers
25. Close-up photographs in newspaper of Abu Ghraib torture
26. Close-up of newspaper page
AP PHOTOS/THE NEW YORK - No Access Canada/For Broadcast use only - Strictly No Access Online or Mobile - NO SALES/MANDATORY COURTESY: "The New Yorker"
27. Still photographic image of hooded detainee wired for electrocution
28. Still photographic image of naked Iraqi detainees in pyramid formation in front of two US soldiers
AP Television
New Orleans, Louisiana 4 September, 2005
29. Aerial view of flooded neighbourhoods with city skyline in background
United States Coast Guard
New Orleans, Louisiana 31 August, 2005
30. Rescue from rooftop of home
ABC - No Access North America/Internet
Pascagoula, Mississippi, 15 September, 2005
31. President George W. Bush addressing reporters on hurricane relief efforts
32. UPSOUND: (English) George W. Bush, President - United States: "And, Brownie, you're doing a heck of a job."
ABC - No Access North America/Internet
New Orleans, Louisiana 1 September, 2005
33. People wading through water
34. People climbing into warehouse seeking shelter
35. UPSOUND: (English) Unknown New Orleans Resident:
"This ain't no time for this here foolishness, but people are trapped , they a lot of them hungry, don't have no water, need medicine, I need insulin right now."
36. Man dragging belongings through water
AP Television
Washington, DC 18 December, 2008
37. Lee Edwards walking past camera
38. SOUNDBITE: (English) Lee Edwards, Senior Scholar - Heritage Foundation: "I think probably the most dramatic mistake he made was Katrina and the response or the non-response, or at least very tardy response of the administration to that terrible disaster down there."
AP Television
New Orleans, Louisiana 10 September, 2005
39. Pan exterior of two homes in New Orleans
AP Television
Los Angeles, California 20 August, 2008
40. For Sale signs along street
41. Real Estate "auction" foreclosure sign
AP Television
Washington, DC 18 December, 2008
42. SOUNDBITE: (English) Stephen Wayne, Professor of Government, Georgetown University:
"I don't think the President caused the recession, but he certainly was asleep at the wheel when it came."
AP Television
New York, New York 16 October, 2008
43. Pan down of financial newspaper headlines
New York Stock Exchange Television
New York, New York 15 October, 2008
44. Stock exchange tote board showing a 425 point drop in stock prices
AP Television
Washington, DC 4 November, 2008
45. President George W. Bush leaves White House walks to waiting helicopter
STORYLINE:
Two shoes hurled at George W. Bush during a farewell news conference in Baghdad will probably be remembered by many as the crowning touch to the legacy of the 43rd President of the United States.
On December 16th, during one final trip to Iraq to say goodbye to American troops, Bush suddenly found the Iraqi journalist Muntadhar Al-Zeidi throwing his shoes at him and branding him a "dog".
It was a huge insult, played over and over on news bulletins across the world, and an iconic moment, one that easily trumped the toppling of a Saddam Hussein statue in Baghdad more than five years earlier.
And there are those in different parts of the world who would venture that instance captured the Bush Legacy.
George W. Bush was sworn in on January 20, 2001, under a political cloud.
Contested votes in Florida had thrown the outcome of the election into the courts, and by a five to four decision, the US Supreme Court declared Bush to be the winner.
It wasn't long before the defining moment of the Bush presidency occurred - it coloured much of what followed, much of it in conflict.
Any assessment of the Bush presidency must start with September 11, 2001, when America was under attack.
Bush declared war, not just on Al-Qaida and its top leadership, but on all "terrorists" and any who aided them, including governments declared to be harbouring "terrorists".
It became known as the "Bush Doctrine" - the policy of launching pre-emptive wars and strikes first before an enemy attacked.
On the rubble of the World Trade Center in New York, the president vowed to send the world a message.
Iraq, Iran and North Korea, the so-called "Axis of Evil" - had been declared "terrorist states" and deemed enemies of democracy by the neo-conservative Bush administration.
What started in Afghanistan a month after 9/11 to eliminate Al Qaida hideouts and drive the Taliban from power soon shifted to a nation Bush and his neo-con cabinet felt they had unfinished business with.
The pretext was that former favoured US client and ally Saddam Hussein had weapons of mass destruction in Iraq.
Once again, Saddam Hussein was in the gun sights of a Bush administration and this time the war went all the way to Baghdad under the banner of "shock and awe".
On March 20th, 2003, a night time aerial bombardment of Baghdad started what was expected by some analysts to be a short, victorious war.
Tens of thousands of Iraqis lost their lives in the initial invasion and bombing.
Forty days later, and beneath a banner reading "Mission Accomplished," Bush declared from the deck of the USS Lincoln, that Saddam Hussein was out and major combat operations were over.
"Major combat operations in Iraq have ended. In the battle of Iraq, the United States and her allies have prevailed," he announced to the world.
It proved to be an ill-advised and premature declaration, as Bush and his advisors failed to anticipate a burgeoning Sunni insurgency, the rise of Al Qaida in Iraq and sectarian violence that took the war-ravaged nation to the cusp of civil war.
Senior Editor of Foreign Policy magazine, Moises Niam, believes Bush during his second term would not support the war policies of the first term.
"I don't think President Bush, today, supports the Bush Doctrine that he launched in the aftermath of 9/11," Niam said.
Once the Pandora's Box of religious rivalry was opened in Iraq without a central national authority to contain it, the ensuing sectarian bloodshed erupted brutally, and elements of Al Qaida also played a role in destabilising the fledgling new government.
The occupation, which many Iraqis vehemently opposed as the morgues overflowed with its citizens, brought five years of fighting, and the deaths of more than four thousand American troops and hundreds of thousands of Iraqis.
In the end, the much trumpeted reason for invading Iraq, weapons of mass destruction, proved a mirage.
Stephen Wayne, professor of government at Georgetown University, cites a characteristic of George W. Bush that will keep historians busy for years.
"The fact that he kept that policy going in light of evidence that it wasn't working is really a failure and he looks bullying, inflexible and the vision looks overly simplistic and probably incorrect," Wayne said.
And while Bush forged ahead in Iraq despite spectacular failures on the ground, he denied alleged extremists legal rights and privileges of suspected enemy POWs.
Pictures of Muslims held at the Guantanamo detention camp awaiting trial while undergoing interrogation and in some cases, torture, created a new framework for viewing America.
As Bush prepares to leave office on January 20th, around 250 suspects remain in the camp awaiting military tribunals or trials in American courts.
"The Bush administration's legacy problem around the world is largely related to Iraq and I think Guantanamo and Abu Graib were symptoms of the failure of Iraq," according to Sibley Talhami, Senior Fellow at the Brookings Institution.
Pictures of prisoner torture at a prison outside Baghdad known as Abu Ghraib surfaced in May 2004, and caused fury in Iraq and throughout the Arab World.
A group of American soldiers were responsible for the torture, as well as the photographs of their actions.
In violation of the Geneva Conventions concerning the safety of prisoners of war, the soldiers staged various humiliations of Muslim prisoners.
Analysts cite the events at Abu Ghraib as a major reason for the dramatic surge in Iraqis wanting to join Al Qaida and other anti-American groups.
Guantanamo and Abu Ghraib undermined any credence the Bush administration's policy for democracy in Arab World had where it counted most, in the Arab World itself.
In the meantime, the sense that Iraq was a turning into a costly and bloody mistake was creeping across America, when attentions were diverted to scenes of panic and carnage along the Gulf Coast.
Hurricane Katrina smashed into low lying areas of New Orleans with a force that swamped the resources of the city and the Louisiana.
Urgent calls for federal help went unanswered while the city flooded from a broken levee that held back the surging lake just to the north of the Crescent City.
For several days, Coast Guard and military helicopters plucked stranded residents from rooftops while others waded through waist high water to find high ground at the city's convention centre and Superdome stadium.
When Bush did respond, he sent a former horse trainer to coordinate disaster relief.
In words that came back to bite him, Bush told FEMA Director Michael Brown, "And, Brownie, you're doing a heck of a job."
For ten days flood waters stagnated in the city as desperate residents fled, leaving the city deserted and dangerous.
Without electricity or running water, New Orleans emerged a symbol of the Bush administration neglect of the poor, African-Americans, and political opponents.
Even conservative supporters were stunned by the lack of response from the Bush administration to the plight of people in New Orleans.
Lee Edwards a senior fellow at the conservative think-tank, The Heritage Foundation, in Washington DC told AP Television, "I think probably the most dramatic mistake he made was Katrina and the response or the non-response, or at least very tardy response of the administration to that terrible disaster down there."
Bush promised to rebuild the city, but three years later, New Orleans remains a shell of its pre-Katrina self and thousands of residents will never return.
On the domestic front in 2005, the American economy appeared full steam ahead, with consumer spending accounting for nearly 70 percent of the economic engine.
Overzealous home buyers were signing up for mortgages that they couldn't afford despite what mortgage companies were saying.
By 2007, signs of a slowdown were seen in the front lawns of many communities.
Home foreclosures in California were only the crest of a real estate tsunami that soon swamped much of the country.
While Bush maintained that the economic fundamentals were strong, the American consumer began to sense the shaky foundations were crumbling.
The administration refused to admit the country was in a recession until the final full year under Bush's watch was declared a recession by government economists.
"I don't think the President caused the recession, but he certainly was asleep at the wheel when it came," according to Stephen Wayne.
In the age of globalisation, when the American economy began to list, the global economy sank.
Stocks plunged in all the major stock markets on Asia, Europe and New York.
And, the budget for the final year of the Bush administration projects a 1-point-3 trillion US dollar deficit.
On January 20, George W. Bush will leave the White House as president for the final time and he apparently is looking to the verdict of history to improve his legacy.
But with the lowest poll ratings of any president in living memory, and a record of few successes and many failures at home and abroad, history may take decades before any positive overall assessment of the George W. Bush presidency is made, if at all.